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The market has not seen enough influence, as many assets show a rapid decline, which destroys the foundation for a proper recovery at the end of 2025. Capital inflows are the life of any sustainable uptrend, and its absence indicates that most investors are sidelined. Without new money entering the ecosystem, liquidity dries up, trading volumes dwindle and we see asset breaks like Dogecoin and XRP.
Activity on the XRP chain has merged
In recent weeks, XRPNetwork activity has decreased dramatically, which may indicate a change in market sentiment and a decrease in transactional demand. On-chain data shows that XRP payment volume, or the total amount transferred between accounts, has decreased by nearly 90% from its peak earlier in October to current readings of just over 200 million XRP. A more general cooling trend in the XRP ecosystem is reflected in this decrease in transactional flow.
A different metric that tracks all transactions, the number of payments, has also decreased dramatically, going from more than a million daily transactions in early October to less than 500,000. After weeks of feeling quiet throughout the cryptocurrency market, the sharp drop raises questions about whether institutional and network use may be slowing down.
XRP did not fare better in terms of price. The token, which is currently trading at $2.41, broke below its short-term ascending support line and lost almost 5% in the past day. The technical aspect is still negative because XRP is still struggling below its 200-day moving average (black line), with resistance rising around $2.70-$2.80. If the market is unable to find support near the $2.20 area, momentum indicators such as the RSI (41) will show a glaring loss of buying power, indicating the possibility of additional downward pressure.
Bearish technicals and collapsing metrics on the chain combine to create a cautious picture. However XRP has historically recovered from periods of severe network contraction, the lack of a robust recovery in volume and payments reinforces the bearish argument this time. The asset runs the risk of falling towards the crucial psychological support of $2.00 which, if broken, could be a more serious technical damage, unless activity increases significantly or liquidity returns to the XRP ecosystem.
Worst time to DOGE?
One of Dogecoin the most important technical structures of 2025, a descending triangle pattern that served as the last zone of consolidation for months, has officially disappeared. All of Dogecoin’s gains since mid-year have essentially been wiped out by the breakout, which occurred in the last 48 hours, and the asset has returned to extremely negative territory.
DOGE collapsed below the lower border of its triangle near $0.18, confirming the bearish breakout after several failed attempts to recover the $0.21-$0.22 resistance zone. The action caused the price of the token to drop more than 6% in one day, and it is currently trading at $0.175, dangerously close to the next significant support level at $0.16. Dogecoin has also been pulled below its 200-day moving average since the breakout, which may indicate a change in long-term trend momentum.
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The blue and orange lines, representing the 50- and 100-day moving averages, are currently curving downward, suggesting that if the bulls are unable to stage a quick recovery, the bearish pressure may increase further. The bleak picture is also reinforced by the volume of data, which shows a decrease in trading activity and no increase in purchase participation that would indicate accumulation. This bearish bias is supported by the RSI reading at 35, which indicates that momentum has clearly shifted in favor of the sellers, but is not yet oversold enough to generate significant buying interest.
Technically speaking, Dogecoin is currently facing an uphill battle. The nearest support is located at $0.16, and a more crucial area is near $0.13, which was tested last during the correction in early 2025. A path towards $0.10, a level not seen since the end of 2024, could be reopened if those are lost. Dogecoin’s optimistic outlook for 2025 is in jeopardy due to low sentiment and the average major moves stacked above the price.
Pressure on Shiba Inu
Shiba Inuwhich has lost more than 5% in the last day and is moving towards the $0.0000095 area, is still under increasing pressure as bearish momentum permeates the larger market. Since the beginning of the summer, the asset has been in a persistent trend and has not been able to recover the important modern averages, which is a significant barrier for any significant attempt at recovery.
Technically, SHIB is still below its 200-day moving average (black line), indicating that the long-term trend is still negative. There is no immediate indication of a reversal as the 50 and 100 day moving averages are also tilted. The price has since fallen below short-term support, indicating a lack of buying interest after the recent unsuccessful breakout attempt near $0.0000105 was quickly rejected.
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A number of crucial elements must be gathered for SHIB to regain the ground and approach $0.000015 by the end of 2025 or beginning of 2026. First, we would need a significant improvement in market sentiment throughout the cryptocurrency industry, ideally fueled by a fresh Bitcoin surge or a revival of meme business cycles. Second, to maintain long-term demand, Shiba Inu-2’s solution, the Shibarium ecosystem, needs to demonstrate real utility and observable growth in on-chain activity.
Technically speaking, the first genuine indication of recovery would be to recover and hold above $0.000012-$0.000013. The 100- and 200-day moving averages, a critical resistance cluster, fall in line with that zone. A verified break above this range could open the way towards $0.000015-$0.000018, but sustained momentum would require substantial volume confirmation.
The possible recovery of Shiba Inu depends on a recovery of the macro market and fresh sales speculation, even if the current setup of the company is bearish. SHIB runs the risk of remaining in the range-bound below $0.000012 well in 2025 in the absence of these catalysts; however, a late-cycle rally in early 2026 is still possible if there is enough liquidity and hype.
