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The market is taking a beating since Bitcoin could lose the $100,000 thershold earlier than anticipated, despite the slow and steady growth towards it throughout 2025. As BTC goes down, Ethereum and Shiba Inu follow in a similar way: not breaking down quickly, but bleeding enough to lose every bit of buying support they had a bit of buying support.
Is Ethereum protected?
ethereumThe 200-day exponential moving average (EMA), which had served as a barrier since February, is now officially down. This breach is a structural break that effectively eliminates the possibility of a short-term price reversal and signals a shift towards a more general bearish phase rather than just a short-term correction.
ETH fell sharply to around $3,518 after weeks of consolidation around the $3,700-$3,800 range, breaking through the 200 EMA for the first time in nearly nine months. Ethereum’s ability to stand atop this crucial mobile medium has historically served as a launch pad for meaningful demonstrations. Losing now suggests that persistent distribution has taken the place of bullish strength, weakening the market’s underlying momentum.
The increase in selling volume coincides with the breakout, indicating the trader’s capitulation rather than brief volatility. The 50- and 100-day moving averages, which are shorter moving averages, are tilted and are currently significantly above current price levels, adding layers of resistance above. ETHThe shift from an accumulation phase to a possible long-term decline is solidified by this crossover dynamic.
Technically speaking, Ethereum’s next significant support is located around $3,400. This is followed by a more crucial region around $3,200, where previous consolidation zones could provide a brief respite. However, there is little indication that buyers will intervene strongly at these levels, given the lack of recovery from the 200 EMA.
Growing oversold pressure is indicated by the Relative Strength Index (RSI) hovering around 34, but in bear markets this typically precedes further declines rather than an immediate recovery. Ethereum essentially just lost, both literally and figuratively. If the 200 EMA is not recovered quickly, ETH could be about to enter a long correction phase that could last well into 2026.
Bitcoin floated to $100,000
BTC is currently trading near $104,000, testing what may be the last short-term structural support zone after breaking below its 200-day moving average at $108,000. Every investor is wondering if Bitcoin can sustain this level or if a more significant decline is inevitable.
In technical terms in the last two weeks, The structure of Bitcoin is substantially decreased. The recent rally validates a shift in market sentiment from optimism to caution, and the string of highs and lows since September has created a distinct downward trend.
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The 200-day moving average, which has historically been a crucial sign of the strength of long-term trends, has now become resistance. The path of least resistance is always downhill Bitcoin remains below this limit. Almost oversold conditions are indicated by the Relative Strength Index (RSI), which is currently around 35.
Oversold, however, does not always indicate a reversal, particularly when the overall structure has become pessimistic. The next significant support level for Bitcoin is between $97,000 and $98,000, which corresponds to the consolidation zone of the end of spring if it is not able to hold $100,000. Short-term buying interest may be sparked from this level, but a long-term recovery will require a clear recovery of the $108,000-$110,000 range, which now looks unlikely in the absence of a powerful catalyst.
Macroeconomically, speculative assets are severely affected by tight liquidity and declining appetite for risk. While short-term leverage and derivatives positioning continue to increase downside volatility, long-term holders remain stable. If Bitcoin is able to hold $100,000, it could test a gradual grind toward resistance after consolidating for weeks.
Another Shiba Inu sales stage
Technical indicators and price structure seem to indicate that Shiba Inu is about to enter a targeted sales phase, with more sales to come. The token broke below its short-term upward trend line after several failed attempts to recover the resistance near $0.0000105, indicating fresh selling pressure in the retail and institutional segments.
The crucial support zone of the year is perilously close to the current price of $0.0000090, and a breakdown of this level could accelerate a larger exodus of holders. The combination of technical and behavioral data that suggests a coordinated or targeted distribution – where large holders progressively sell their positions to take advantage of areas of thin liquidity – is more worrying.
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The 50-day, 100-day and 200-day major moving averages are all stacked above the current price on the chart, indicating a fully developed bearish trend. Since the beginning of August, the 200-day MA in particular has served as a ceiling, and every attempt to reach it has resulted in harsh rejections. This structure is very similar to the last stages of a long distribution cycle.
In addition, the analysis of the volume shows a pattern: each small demonstration was accompanied by a higher sales volume, which indicates that the larger entities are taking advantage of short upticks to sell their positions. The setup suggests persistent weakness rather than a recovery when combined with weak selling flows and a Relative Strength Index (RSI) near 33.
SHIB it may fall towards the next psychological support at $0.0000080 if the selling maintains its current pace. If the market sentiment does not stabilize, it may also return to the $0.0000070 range.
