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Bitcoin reached close to $103,000 on Wednesday after Galaxy Digital lowered its 2025 price forecast from $185,000 to $120,000, citing increased leveraged liquidations, whale sales exceeding 400,000 BTC, and strengthening market liquidity. Despite the downgrade, Galaxy maintained a long-term bullish stance, pointing to institutional inflows and ETF growth as drivers of the next phase of expansion.
Alex Thorn, the head of research at Galaxy, described the current stage of Bitcoin as an “era of maturity”, characterized by slower, but more stable growth. He emphasized that as long as Bitcoin holds above the $100,000 mark, the broader structure of the bull market remains intact.
Last month’s $20 billion flash crash, which briefly drove Bitcoin below six figures, raised fears of a bearish shift. However, analysts argued that the correction of 21% fits into the typical behavior of the cycle. Thorn reiterated that Galaxy remains confident in Bitcoin’s fundamentals, expecting a recovery once markets stabilize and institutional participation strengthens.
Meanwhile, Metaplanet Inc. of Japan, the country’s largest corporate Bitcoin holder, announced a $100 million loan from its credit facility backed by $500 million of Bitcoin to expand its operations and finance revenue initiatives. The loan represents only 3% of its total reserves of 30,823 BTC, currently valued around $3.5 billion, demonstrating a conservative leverage strategy.
The company will allocate part of the funding to its growing Bitcoin business, which generated ¥24.4 billion ($160 million) in Q3 2025, up 3.5x year-over-year. Metaplanet aims to reach 210,000 BTC by 2027, reinforcing its commitment to long-term Bitcoin accumulation despite market turmoil.
Adding to the institutional momentum, “Future”, a Swiss Bitcoin treasury and custody startup co-founded by Adam Back, has raised $34.5 million (CHF 28M) in a funding round led by Fulgur Ventures, Tobam and Nakamoto Future Holdings. The firm provides multi-signature custody, treasury management and advisory services for corporations integrating Bitcoin into their balance sheets.
Co-founded by industry leaders including Julian Liniger (Relai) and Marc Syz (Syz Capital), Future aims to establish itself as the top Bitcoin treasury platform in Switzerland. The move aligns with Switzerland’s MiCA-aligned crypto legislation, reinforcing the nation’s role as a European hub for institutional Bitcoin adoption.
Bitcoin (BTC/USD) is consolidating near $103,580, stabilizing after last week’s drop from $111,000. On the 2 hour chart, BTC forms a downward widening wedge, a structure that often signals selling exhaustion and a potential upside reversal.
An engulfing bullish candle near $100,400, the lower wedge boundary, suggests renewed buying interest. The RSI recovered from oversold levels near 30 to around 48, showing a bullish divergence. Bitcoin recovered its 20-EMA, and a break above the 50-EMA at $104,200 could confirm a momentum shift.

A sustained move above $106,300 (200-EMA) may open a recovery path towards $111,000, while failure to hold $103,000 could revisit $100,400-$97,600.
Trade setup: A long position above $104,200 targets $106,300 and $111,000, with a stop-loss below $101,500.
Despite the short-term pressure, the combination of institutional expansion from Galaxy, strategic accumulation from Metaplanet, and the growing Swiss investment infrastructure suggests that Bitcoin’s long-term growth story remains intact. The market may be entering a period of consolidation before its next major breakout as institutional confidence quietly builds beneath the surface.
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