Is BTC Going To Hold or Fall Below $100K Today?

Crypto Journalist

Anas Hassan

Crypto Journalist

Anas Hassan

About the author

Anas is a native crypto journalist and SEO writer with over five years of writing experience covering blockchain, crypto, DeFi and emerging technologies.

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Last updated:

November 4, 2025

Bitcoin is facing significant pressure on November 4, sliding below $103,000 after losing the crucial 85th percentile cost base (~$109K)a level that has historically acted as strong support during macro-driven pullbacks.

BTC now exchange around 103 thousand $with analysts focused on the next major limit at the 75th percentile cost base (~$99K)an area that previously stopped deeper corrections. The weakness persists despite the macro conditions which should support the risk assets.

Crypto continues to underperform equity even after the Federal Reserve 25 bps cut and his plan end the quantitative easing (QT) from December.

While the The S&P 500 is up 1.66% during the past month and 16.76% YTDBitcoin has fallen more than 15% in the last 30 days and it is right 4.2% YTD. Liquidity is expanding in the world – US M2 grew by more than $2 trillion by mid-2023 – but almost no one came crypto.

ETF inflows stopthe activity of the treasury of digital assets through the main tokens has dried up, and more than $19 billion in leverage it was washed out around the last FOMC event.

Wintermute’s November 2025 report note that a return of ETF or DAT flows will be essential for any significant recovery.

Altcoins have also suffered steeper declines. During the past week, game tokens are down 21%, layer-2s 19%, memecoins 18%and medium and small capitals 15-16%. Only AI and DePIN tokens shows relative resilience, barely falling 3-4% on the strength of TAO.

Analysts warn that this decline is not a typical “buy the dip” setup. but a broader test of liquidity resilience, exacerbated by the ongoing US government shutdownthat the CBO estimates are off $7-14 billion in economic production.

On-chain data shows that this tax freeze is already restricting Bitcoin’s liquidity profile. The key question now is whether Bitcoin can defend the psychological barrier of $100Kor if deteriorating conditions force a retest of $99K support. Stay tuned for live price updates as volatility intensifies.

Stay tuned for live price updates and real-time market reactions as volatility accelerates.

BTC Drops Below $103K – Sub-$100K Coming?