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Features writer
Olga Primakova
Features writer
Olga Primakova
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Elena Bozhkova
Features Lead
Elena Bozhkova
Key Takeaways:
- Polymarket gained popularity in 2024 during the U.S. elections, with its TVL recovering to $230 million by November 2025.
- The long-anticipated Polymarket airdrop has no official date or criteria yet, but the token POLY is confirmed to be in development.
- U.S. users still cannot access the platform, though a dedicated waitlist hints at upcoming expansion.
- Eligibility for the Polymarket airdrop will likely depend on trading activity, on-platform engagement, and possibly X badges.
- Analysts warn about low liquidity and insider influence, with large bets often distorting market odds.
Polymarket, a blockchain-based prediction market platform, became especially popular in 2024. The main reason was the US presidential election – users bet whether Trump will win or not.
On November 6, 2024, the total value of the locked platform (TVL) increased above $500 million. Later, this number fell below $100 million, but began to grow again during the summer of 2025. As of November 5, Polymarket’s TVL is approximately $230 million, which shows a growth of more than 100% since the summer. The trend remains upward, and can be linked to the potential Airdrop of Polymarket.
Polymarket and the prediction market narrative are still fairly new but developing rapidly, with a relatively low barrier to entry. Some compare this sector to meme coins before their boom. Whether that’s true or not, it’s too early to tell. Cryptonews looked at what’s going on here.
Polymarket Airdrop is live
With the growing popularity of the platform, it was obvious that at some point, an Airdrop Polymarket would happen, and the project would launch its own token. There is no confirmed date or criteria yet, but it is known that the token will have the POLY ticker.
Matthew Modabber, CMO at Polymarket, said in an interview that the company plans to launch its token. For now, the project is focused on entering the US market. When this happens, the crypto community will finally see POLY.
At the moment, Polymarket is officially unavailable for users who live in the United States This is ironic because most of the trending markets on the platform are related to the politics of the United States. There is no exact date for the company’s launch in the United States, but preparations are clearly underway. The website now has a waiting list where users can enter their phone numbers, and it looks like there will be a separate platform for US merchants.
How to claim the Polymarket Airdrop?
There is still no confirmed information on how the Polymarket airdrop will work. It probably depends on how active users are on the platform. To start, it is enough to register in Polymarket. There is no KYC, just a crypto wallet.
Another sign of growing interest is the appearance of Polymarket Traders badges on X (formerly Twitter). This is part of a separate program. To get the badge, users need to be active and post on Polymarket. It seems that this activity could also be considered for the next airdrop. However, getting a badge is not easy, and the waiting list is already long.
The second way to qualify could be to be classified as a top trader on the platform. It is safe to assume that those users will also be eligible for the POLY distribution.
One of the main problems with Polymarket, as with many “young” markets, is low liquidity. For traders, this means that large bets can greatly affect market prices and cause slippage. When there are not enough counterparties, it becomes difficult to exit a position at a good price. The wide spread between “Yes” and “No” bets increases the risk, and even small trading volumes can distort the real probability of the results. As a result, large traders often need to limit their positions.
For example, one of the most active markets on the platform, focused on interest rate forecasts, has a trading volume of about $28 million. This is a high number for Polymarket, as many other markets have less than $1 million in volume.
The liquidity issue will likely improve once the platform launches for US users.
Another problem is the presence of insiders. Some analysts have already started tracking their portfolios. For example, Ronin researchers published a list of traders in Polymarket with win rates over 90% and profits over $100,000.
It is still difficult to estimate its total impact, but clearly, great traders can influence the probabilities of the result. If one of them places a big “Yes” bet, the platform visually shows higher odds for that event, even if the market consensus doesn’t really support it.
Expectation for the Polymarket Airdrop
Competition for the POLY airdrop is already high. Many users joined the platform after Matthew Modabber’s interview. The team is already monitoring user activity and has started banning suspicious accounts, so wash trading probably won’t work.
The easiest way to participate in the Polymarket airdrop is to stay active and trade regularly, even with small amounts like $ 10. The general minimum standard in airdrops is usually about $ 100-$ 200 in total trading activity, including profits.
Other ways include getting a Polymarket badge in X. Therefore, it helps to have an account established with at least 1,000 followers and to publish insights about Polymarket. The third option is to reach the list of the main traders for the win rate.
According to community rumors, the launch of the token could happen in Q1 2026, but this is not confirmed. Polymarket has not yet launched experience points (XP), which are often part of similar programs, but that could change soon.
Meanwhile, Polymarket attracts large investments. According to the Wall Street Journal, the financial company Intercontinental Exchange (ICE), which owns the New York Stock Exchange, is in discussions. invest $2 billion in prediction market platform. After this round, Polymarket’s valuation could increase to $8-10 billion.
Disclaimer: Crypto is a high risk asset class. This article is provided for informational purposes and does not constitute investment advice.
