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Why Lightning Network capacity declining 20% in 2025 is NOT as bad as it sounds


The bitcoin network capacity has declined by 5,400 btc in the end of the 2023 BTC from 205 August, a 10% drop, for Mempool.Space data. While raw figures involve a contraction, analysts and developers reflect structural evolution in the route and design of protocol

Lightning ability vs usage

The ability of the network ability refers to the total amount of BTC Locked in public payment channels, which form the chart used to rare peer transactions.

As well as Lightning of the lightning of the river Explain, this number does not reflect private channels, flows wasted, or multi-road payments. The same report found that predict only moderate in the ability, the payment of the routes on the Fulgnx has increased 2021 and August 2023.

The inegration of Coinbase of LIGHTNING IN 2024 brought volume measurable. By in the middle of 2025, LightPark reported which approximately the 15% of the bitcoin retirements on the platform were now rotivated via lightning.

Cooking, an European cry payments processor, he also has reported That part of bitcoin crypto’s bitpto in their coated platform in 2025, with the internal part of the volume for the second Layer Network growth. In its 2024 Trimester Rituma, noticed that the lightning had already counted for 16% of Bitcoin words, follow up approximately two years before

The Soccer in public capacity accompanies a third-third-noda in public noda and a channel case, which were in repurchases by 2022, according to meckOol data.

Lightning skills (source: Molpool.Space)
Lightning skills (source: Molpool.Space)

The developers allocate the part of this tendency to the route of the route for the nodes of Hub Better and the adoption of combinent protocols as the split channel. These changes allow dancing for channels with no chain transactions, reducing the need for new channel and allowing more effectiveness.

Development of the continued parking

While public graph can appears smaller, the recent developments can be expanding the scope of the network use. In January 2025, Young announced the USDT roll over the lightning via the taproot assets, collaboration with lightning labes.

This applies to the door to payments denominate and press playing and lives on the way, that they don’t need btc in the channels, ability denominates. Landning Laba Coirabeth Stark said the integration combines the bitcoin security with the fulmine’s speed.

To a structural level, developers are also addressing trouble than channel reliability. Searching in jamming attacks and substituted vulno continuously across the bitcoin optech offers and instruments of liquidity is making lightly robbers.

There is also a remarkable expansion in application streets using lightning protocol. An example is L402A specification that enables pays for claim by using native authentication and microfentions, now implemented in the beginning of the initial agent as LangchikitCoin.

The design allows the automated agents for the inference response or bets of Fiat accounts or static keys, offer a new machine to

These protocols and use of the case they provide the context because of public ability only can no longer be a complete indicator of the network.

The developers that discussed that the current evolution of the lightning is less than increasing visible liquidity and more of the increase in each satosh already in motion.

While the trend of public capacity may be descending, the underlining metrics on the use, integers, and the technical progresses count a different story.

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